Updated 2026 NFL playoff picture: Early Week 4 projections
With Week 4 underway, updated playoff projections place Buffalo atop the AFC. Cincinnati and Denver are also included among the AFC's early postseason teams. The article notes that 10 wins has usually been enough to reach the playoffs in the 17-game era.
With Week 4 beginning, the 2026 season is nearing its first quarter. The article notes October's arrival often brings colder conditions and more consequential games. In the 17-game era, only the 2024 Seahawks have won at least 10 games and missed the postseason, suggesting 10 victories usually secures a berth.
The early AFC field listed Buffalo at No. 1 at 3-0, followed by Cincinnati, Denver, Jacksonville, Kansas City, Baltimore and Las Vegas. Buffalo has won in varied styles; Denver rallied past Jacksonville and the Rams; Jacksonville owns two blowout wins; Las Vegas could reach 10 wins by going 7-7.
Early playoff projections may shape fan discussion and media narratives, giving supporters of teams like Buffalo, Cincinnati and Denver hope while intensifying scrutiny on struggling clubs. Players and coaches could face added pressure as expectations harden. Local businesses around contending cities may see modest boosts if excitement grows, though projections this early can shift quickly and should not be treated as certain.